i think snorn brown is winning after the outside group spent over $20 million unanswered trying to defeat him shows that the candidates matter and how good a senator and politician you are and he's done a great job and he's going to win in a state that's going to be razor thin on a presidential level and the wisconsin race is going to be a big surprise to people. i think everyone thought tommy thompson was going to walls banback in and tammy baldwin has put herself in a position where she could win. >> it matters who's on the top of the ticket, does it not? >> it does. i'm surprised that not only that the presidential races are close but the races that are close senatorial that are not even vaguely close at the presidential. i think about north dakota. i think about connecticut or massachusetts, or on the other side, montana. i don't remember that happening a lot unless you have some really, really strong incumbent. most of these are not incumbent. >> think about nebraska. >> nebraska has tightened up some. >> there are 16 races that we're looking at that a are competitive, some obviously